40 home runs-70 steals are rather the result of bad luck… Japanese media consternation “may block the road in front of Otani.”

Japanese media, which had been expecting Shohei Ohtani (30, LA Dodgers) to win the MVP award of the two major leagues, were surprised. Analysts say that the unprecedented record of 40 home runs and 70 steals that gave Ronald Acuña Jr. (27, Atlanta Braves) the first MVP last year is rather a result of bad luck.

Japanese media Full Count said on the 27th (Korea time), “Aquanya Jr. received the MVP last year, but he was unlucky. It may be a high wall that blocks Ohtani’s path, meaning that there is still room for growth.”

Ohtani moved his team and league from the Los Angeles Angels of the American League to the Los Angeles Dodgers of the National League this winter for the first time in six years. With a whopping 10 years and 700 million U.S. dollars in mega FA contract, it is the highest ever in North American professional sports history.라바카지노주소

He has already conquered the American League by winning two MVP awards. Ohtani, who underwent Tommy John Surgery meant to link tendons in his elbow after receiving the Rookie of the Year award in 2018, made a splendid comeback in 2021. In 2021, Ohtani batted .257 in 155 games, 46 homers, 100 RBIs, 103 runs, 26 stolen bases, an on-base percentage of 0.372 slugging percentage 0.592 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage) 0.965, and as a pitcher, he won nine games, two losses with a 3.18 ERA and 156 strikeouts in 130 ⅓ innings, becoming the first silver slugger and unanimous MVP.

In 2022, Ohtani had 34 home runs and 95 RBIs as a batter, 15 wins as a pitcher and a season of MVP based on 219 strikeouts, but he had another monster season last year. Despite ending the regular season a month early due to injury, he had a batting average of 0.304 in 135 games as a batter, 95 homers, 102 runs scored, 20 stolen bases, 1.066 OPS, 10-5 losses in 23 games with a 3.14 ERA and 167 strikeouts in 132 innings as a pitcher. It was the moment when he became the second MVP of his career and the first two-time unanimous MVP in Major League history.

Acuña Jr., who was as sensational as Ohtani last year, is seen as a strong contender for MVP in the National League. The full countdown highlighted that “Acuña Jr. will be a strong rival to Ohtani. However, the official Major League website MLB.com predicts that Acuña Jr. will perform better in all aspects.”

Acuña Jr.s 2023 season performance was the peak of his teams players. He hit .337 (217 hits in 643 times at bat) with 41 homers, 106 RBIs, 149 runs and 73 steals in 159 games, and a slugging percentage of .416 OPS 1.012, topping the entire Major League in scoring, hitting, stealing and on-base percentage.

Until then, it was hard to see even 40 home runs and 40 steals. Prior to Acuña’s debut, only four players in the history of Major League had 40 home runs and 40 steals: Jose Canseco (42 home runs and 40 steals) in 1988, Barry Bonds (42 home runs and 40 steals) in 1996, Alex Rodriguez (42 home runs and 46 steals) in 1998, and Alfonso Soriano (46 steals) in 2006.

However, MLB.com judged that Acuña’s record did not appear in the performance for three reasons. The first was that in the wOBA (weighted on-base percentage), which refers to contribution to scoring per at-bat, Acuña Jr. stood at 0.428, lower than the “expected wOBA” of 0.461 based on contact quality. In contrast, Ohtani’s weighted on-base percentage (0.433) was higher than expected (0.420). In a similar vein, when judging the expected batting average according to the quality of the batting average, Acuña Jr. had lower actual batting average (0.337) than expected (0.357), while Ohtani had lower expected batting average of 0.290, while his actual batting average was 0.304.

He also saw potential growth in defense and baserunning. Acuña Jr. was ranked tied for fourth in the entire Major League based on the U.S. baseball statistics website Baseball Servant last year, but his defense range was measured as the 12th weakest from behind. As a result, he scored -2 points in the Defensive Runs Saved (DRS), an indicator in which defense prevented a loss. However, MLB.com believes that this is the result of Atlanta and Acuña Jr. not intentionally making excessive defense. Acuña Jr. suffered an anterior cruciate ligament injury in his knee in July 2021. As it is a major surgery that greatly affects his ability to run on base, he has to be cautious, and Acuña Jr.’s focus has significantly declined compared to before the knee injury.

MLB.com said, “Some of the plays Acuña Jr. did not play last year may have come out to protect his knee in a situation where he is not in a hurry.” He added, “If Acuña Jr.’s defense became the league average, the winning contribution (WAR) compared to the replacement, which was 8.3, would have been close to 9.3 if it was even a little above the average.”

The baserunning team also pointed out the second-highest number of stolen base failures (14 times) in the entire Major League last year, and expected that they would perform better than last year if they played a little more efficiently. The full count, which put this together, said, “MLB.com considering Acuña Jr.’s age, skills, and performance last year, it was not strange if his performance improved further,” expressing concern about Acuña’s potential.

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